OK 721
God Bless, Louis

OK he is requesting more wild assed guesses so here is my brute force attempt! If this doesn't work then I don't know what I'll do

400
405
410
415
420
425
430
435
440
445
450
455
460
465
470
475
480
490
495
500

quote:

Originally posted by youngoutdoors:

OK 721
God Bless, Louis

721 was already offered by idahoelk101 early on in the contest. If the guesses came down to it being between yours and his before I close the contest, he would get them...

And Not_, "blanketing" is not a sporting way to guess. If it was, there would be no contest. I want to make this equal for all. Making guesses in increments of five or ten is like sending a platoon of soldiers with automatic weapons out to hunt a deer in one of those fenced-in hunting preserves in Texas. The deer is going to lose-- just a matter of time. I would like to ask you to withdraw the blanket guesses and estimate based on what you think would be an intelligent guess. Here's how I would do it: Calculate the volume of a single case, divide 2,000 cc by that volume and then take an educated guess as to how many cases in the bottle are lost to interstitial volume. A .40 case is .12 cubic inches in volume. Two liters is 122 cubic inches. That makes the bottle hold 1016 cases if there was ZERO interstitial loss. If the loss was 10%, we'd have 914 cases in there. If it was 25%, we'd have 762 cases. That's how I'd do it...

quote:

Originally posted by homebrewer:

quote:

Originally posted by TEANCUM:

Hotsh#t is waiting for the contest on a jar of .25ACP brass!!!!

He'll be waiting a long time because I'd never use the energy to pick up something so small. .357Mag is my lower limit and that I'd save for myself-- because I have one. I have a bunch of .38Spcl I will give away shortly after awarding this .40 brass. But no .25ACP...

We have 24 whole-integer estimates and one fractional. To be honest, his is not really in the running. I shall be charitable and remove the decimal portion of his guess. So we have 25 guesses. I have looked at them and I have to say, there are a few in there that are quite good.

I was accounting for the possibility that there was a case of case head separation by someone shooting a stout reload out of a glock

OK, I'll try 662
Bob

if we can geuss more than once 787

I see I started this on March 31. I guess we can let it go a week, maybe a day or so longer. I was expecting a larger number of discrete entrants, but I guess .40 just ain't that popular. I'll cut it off on April 7, around mid-day PST. There are some good guesses here. We'll see the winner, whomever he is, in a few days...

623

one more try 348

By my count I'd say 632! Yup, that's it. Right on the money.

Sorry didn't notice the duplicate post.

How about 725.

God Bless, Louis

625

830

799

804

just in case 867

Keep 'em coming...

730

501

OK, gents. There are only about six hours left. I'll be cutting off the bids at around 1400 PDT today. There are some really good guesses. Thank you to all who competed. Tune in later this afternoon to see who wins..

842

About 90 more minutes, and the contest is closed...

30 minutes. The contest closes at 1400 PDT. There are some pretty good guesses, but all of them are over the actual number...

641

i'll make multiple guesses in one post
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
369
370
371
372
373
374
375
376
377
378
379
380
381
382
383
384
385
386
387
388
389
390
391
392
393
394
395
396
397
398
399
400
401
402
403
404
405
406
407
408
409
410
411
412
413
414
415
416
417
418
419
420
421
422
423
424
425
426
427
428
429
430
431
432
433
434
435
436
437
438
439
440
441
442
443
444
445
446
447
448
449
450
451
452
453
454
455
456
457
458
459
460
461
462
463
464
465
466
467
468
469
470
471
472
473
474
475
476
477
478
479
480
481
482
483
484
485
486
487
488
489
490
491
492
493
494
495
496
497
498
499
500
501
502
503
504
505
506
507
508
509
510
511
512
513
514
515
516
517
518

1001

The contest closed on April 7 at 1400 PDT, or April 8 at 0200 if we use the timestamp on the website. I was out until just now at 1630. The last three guesses are excluded.

I think this contest was pretty good. The two best guesses for OVER the number are by BECoole at 723 and youngoutdoors at 725. The TOTAL number of cases in both the bag and bottle is 727. youngoutdoors was closest on the over, but the contest is for what's in the bottle-- not the total in the picture. I know that's a tough break to miss it by just 2 cases over the total-total, but the first sentence of my original post says how many cases are in the two-liter bottle.

The best guesses for UNDER the number in the bottle are from Bob jr at 662 and txhunter77 at 632.

The number of cases IN THE BOTTLE is 696. The winner is Bob jr, with a guess of 662, made about 24 hours before closing. Congratulations, Bob. Send your preferred delivery address to me via PM me and we'll get the brass into a medium USPS flat-rate box for you and send them on. Shipping for the box is $10.95 plus 44 cents for my stamp on the self-returning envelope.

My thanks to all who participated. My next one is a bunch of .38Special: mixed headstamp, mixed brass and nickel-plated, ultrasonically cleaned (primer pockets clean) and resized with a Lee carbide die to 1/4-turn past contact with the shellholder. Just flare, prime and load. I have yet to prep these, so don't look for this one right away.

Again, the winner is Bob jr with a guess of 662 cases in the bottle.

Not trying to be critical here but I had a guess of 712 also. You said "closest guess" not closest without going over. Any way Bob jr was the closest without going over.

When is the next contest with maybe some .41 brass.

God Bless, Louis

How would you like to just sell me that .38 brass outright?? I shoot .38 in competition and I'm in need of a bunch of it!

quote:

Originally posted by youngoutdoors:

Not trying to be critical here but I had a guess of 712 also. You said "closest guess" not closest without going over. Any way Bob jr was the closest without going over.

When is the next contest with maybe some .41 brass.

God Bless, Louis

I don't have any .41 brass-- never even seen any, for that matter. Yes, Bob jr is the winner because he came closest to the number in the bottle. And that was the contest...

quote:

Originally posted by Rather-B-Huntin:

How would you like to just sell me that .38 brass outright?? I shoot .38 in competition and I'm in need of a bunch of it!

Nope, because I have no idea what it's worth. I've picked it up over the years, so it's cost me nothing. I can't sell something for money for which I did not pay. Giving them away for the cost of shipping the box to the closest guess makes it fair to everyone. I'm sorry, but that's the way it is...