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Western Arctic Caribou Herd population decline continues, hunting may be affected
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Western Arctic Caribou Herd population decline continues, with hunting expected to be affected

What was once the largest caribou herd in Alaska has shrunk nearly 70% in twenty years, but it is not the only herd experiencing dramatic drops
BY: YERETH ROSEN - DECEMBER 19, 2023 5:00 AM



The caribou herd that used to be the largest in Alaska and, at times, the largest in North America has continued to shrink, fitting an Arctic-wide pattern that scientists have linked at least in part to climate change.

The Western Arctic Caribou Herd population now stands at 152,000, down from 164,000 last year, according to the most recent survey conducted by the Alaska Department of Fish and Game and its partners.

The herd’s population numbers and trends were detailed last week at the annual meeting of the Western Arctic Caribou Herd Working Group, an advisory organization representing village residents and hunting and conservation organizations.

The herd, which roams over a vast territory that ranges from the North Slope and Chukchi Sea coast to Interior Alaska, has long been a source of food and culture in many Indigenous communities. That makes its welfare an issue of food security and cultural preservation in some areas.

This year’s count, calculated through photographic records, represents a continued downward trend since 2017, when the herd size was estimated at 259,000.

“Within that short timeframe, we’ve lost 100,000 caribou within this population, which is significant,” Alex Hansen, Fish and Game’s Kotzebue-based biologist who monitors the herd, told the working group last Wednesday during the Anchorage meeting.

The Western Arctic herd size peaked at 490,000 in 2003. Over the past half-century, its size has veered between extremes, nosediving from 242,000 in 1970 to 75,000 in 1976 before rebounding after strict hunting rules were put in place.

Hunting has also been sharply restricted in recent years, and the working group endorsed continued limits.

It is not just the number of caribou hunted that’s important to the herd’s potential recovery, Hansen stressed in his presentation. It is also important to avoid taking females out of the population, he said.

“One cow has a lot of potential to produce more caribou,” he said. The message in his PowerPoint presentation was boiled down to a succinct phrase: “Let cows live.”



But Hansen acknowledged that there are reasons that some hunters might prefer to target cows during their harvests, which tend to be in autumn, when the bulls are hormonally charged and geared toward mating.
“Cows are fat. They’re better to eat. Nobody wants to eat a rutty bull,” he said.

Working group members said they believe tools exist to help turn around the decline.

“By slowing down the decline now, hopefully it won’t bottom out at the low level that it did in 1976,” said Charles Lean, a working group member from Nome.

Within the total population estimates, there are other trends.

For adult females, survival rates are lower than the long-term average. However, the rate of birth of new calves is a bit above the long-term average.

Migration patterns have changed significantly over recent years, Kyle Joly, a National Park Service biologist who studies the herd, said in a presentation to the working group.

Caribou in the herd are generally staying farther north in the fall and winter, according to monitoring conducted by radio collar signals. A much smaller percentage of collared animals even venture south far enough to cross the Kobuk River, a site that used to be a regular transit point during the fall migration, the data shows. Among those that do cross the river, the season’s first crossings are now a month later than they were 10 years ago, he said.

Herds declining across North America

The Western Arctic herd’s decline is part of a wider pattern.

Caribou herds across North America have been shrinking, as are wild reindeer herds in Arctic Eurasia. Scientists say climate change and industrial development are factors adding to what are the normal wide swings in population. Climate change adds risks like increased rain-on-snow events, which makes travel and food foraging difficult, and is replacing low-lying lichen and other vegetation that caribou eat with woody shrubs. Meanwhile, industrial development is fragmenting habitat, creating roads and other infrastructure that have become impediments to caribou movement.



Some of the most extreme caribou herd crashes have been in Canada.

The George River Caribou Herd, which ranges in land in Quebec and Labrador, was about 800,000 animals in the 1990s but is now down to only 7,200 as of last year. It was once the world’s largest herd.

The Bathurst Caribou Herd in Canada’s Northwest Territories declined from 186,000 in 2003 to 6,240 in 2021, according to the territorial government. Some Canadian herds have already been declared extinct, and several are classified by the government there as at risk.

Along with the Western Arctic herd, other major Alaska herds have declined, as Joly pointed out in a presentation to the Western Arctic Caribou Herd Working Group.

The Fortymile herd in eastern Interior Alaska has declined by over 50% in six years; the Nelchina herd, also in eastern Interior Alaska, has dropped by over 80% in four years; and the Mulchatna herd in Western Alaska is down by 98% from its 1990s size, according to his presentation.

With declines in the Western Arctic and other herds, that leaves the Porcupine Caribou Herd as potentially the largest in North America. The Porcupine herd ranges between northeastern Alaska and neighboring parts of Canada, and it is known for using the narrow Arctic National Refuge coastal plain for annual calving.

However, recent figures for the Porcupine herd are not available. The last official photo census, which put the population estimate at over 218,000, was in 2017.

Like the Porcupine herd, two other North Slope herds appear to have bucked the decline trend.

The Central Arctic Caribou Herd, which has fluctuated widely in its size over the years, peaked in 2010 at 68,000 animals, then shrank to 23,000 in 2016 before increasing to over 34,000 by 2022, according to the Alaska Department of Fish and Game. The Teshekpuk Caribou Herd, which spends the entire year on the North Slope, The Teshekpuk Caribou herd grew from 40,000 in 2011 to 61,500 as of 2022, according to the Alaska Department of Fish and Game and the U.S. Bureau of Land Management.


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Originally posted by Kathi:
https://alaskabeacon.com/2023/...t-of-hunting-limits/



Western Arctic Caribou Herd population decline continues, with hunting expected to be affected

What was once the largest caribou herd in Alaska has shrunk nearly 70% in twenty years, but it is not the only herd experiencing dramatic drops
BY: YERETH ROSEN - DECEMBER 19, 2023 5:00 AM



The caribou herd that used to be the largest in Alaska and, at times, the largest in North America has continued to shrink, fitting an Arctic-wide pattern that scientists have linked at least in part to climate change.

The Western Arctic Caribou Herd population now stands at 152,000, down from 164,000 last year, according to the most recent survey conducted by the Alaska Department of Fish and Game and its partners.

The herd’s population numbers and trends were detailed last week at the annual meeting of the Western Arctic Caribou Herd Working Group, an advisory organization representing village residents and hunting and conservation organizations.

The herd, which roams over a vast territory that ranges from the North Slope and Chukchi Sea coast to Interior Alaska, has long been a source of food and culture in many Indigenous communities. That makes its welfare an issue of food security and cultural preservation in some areas.

This year’s count, calculated through photographic records, represents a continued downward trend since 2017, when the herd size was estimated at 259,000.

“Within that short timeframe, we’ve lost 100,000 caribou within this population, which is significant,” Alex Hansen, Fish and Game’s Kotzebue-based biologist who monitors the herd, told the working group last Wednesday during the Anchorage meeting.

The Western Arctic herd size peaked at 490,000 in 2003. Over the past half-century, its size has veered between extremes, nosediving from 242,000 in 1970 to 75,000 in 1976 before rebounding after strict hunting rules were put in place.

Hunting has also been sharply restricted in recent years, and the working group endorsed continued limits.

It is not just the number of caribou hunted that’s important to the herd’s potential recovery, Hansen stressed in his presentation. It is also important to avoid taking females out of the population, he said.

“One cow has a lot of potential to produce more caribou,” he said. The message in his PowerPoint presentation was boiled down to a succinct phrase: “Let cows live.”



But Hansen acknowledged that there are reasons that some hunters might prefer to target cows during their harvests, which tend to be in autumn, when the bulls are hormonally charged and geared toward mating.
“Cows are fat. They’re better to eat. Nobody wants to eat a rutty bull,” he said.

Working group members said they believe tools exist to help turn around the decline.

“By slowing down the decline now, hopefully it won’t bottom out at the low level that it did in 1976,” said Charles Lean, a working group member from Nome.

Within the total population estimates, there are other trends.

For adult females, survival rates are lower than the long-term average. However, the rate of birth of new calves is a bit above the long-term average.

Migration patterns have changed significantly over recent years, Kyle Joly, a National Park Service biologist who studies the herd, said in a presentation to the working group.

Caribou in the herd are generally staying farther north in the fall and winter, according to monitoring conducted by radio collar signals. A much smaller percentage of collared animals even venture south far enough to cross the Kobuk River, a site that used to be a regular transit point during the fall migration, the data shows. Among those that do cross the river, the season’s first crossings are now a month later than they were 10 years ago, he said.

Herds declining across North America

The Western Arctic herd’s decline is part of a wider pattern.

Caribou herds across North America have been shrinking, as are wild reindeer herds in Arctic Eurasia. Scientists say climate change and industrial development are factors adding to what are the normal wide swings in population. Climate change adds risks like increased rain-on-snow events, which makes travel and food foraging difficult, and is replacing low-lying lichen and other vegetation that caribou eat with woody shrubs. Meanwhile, industrial development is fragmenting habitat, creating roads and other infrastructure that have become impediments to caribou movement.



Some of the most extreme caribou herd crashes have been in Canada.

The George River Caribou Herd, which ranges in land in Quebec and Labrador, was about 800,000 animals in the 1990s but is now down to only 7,200 as of last year. It was once the world’s largest herd.

The Bathurst Caribou Herd in Canada’s Northwest Territories declined from 186,000 in 2003 to 6,240 in 2021, according to the territorial government. Some Canadian herds have already been declared extinct, and several are classified by the government there as at risk.

Along with the Western Arctic herd, other major Alaska herds have declined, as Joly pointed out in a presentation to the Western Arctic Caribou Herd Working Group.

The Fortymile herd in eastern Interior Alaska has declined by over 50% in six years; the Nelchina herd, also in eastern Interior Alaska, has dropped by over 80% in four years; and the Mulchatna herd in Western Alaska is down by 98% from its 1990s size, according to his presentation.

With declines in the Western Arctic and other herds, that leaves the Porcupine Caribou Herd as potentially the largest in North America. The Porcupine herd ranges between northeastern Alaska and neighboring parts of Canada, and it is known for using the narrow Arctic National Refuge coastal plain for annual calving.

However, recent figures for the Porcupine herd are not available. The last official photo census, which put the population estimate at over 218,000, was in 2017.

Like the Porcupine herd, two other North Slope herds appear to have bucked the decline trend.

The Central Arctic Caribou Herd, which has fluctuated widely in its size over the years, peaked in 2010 at 68,000 animals, then shrank to 23,000 in 2016 before increasing to over 34,000 by 2022, according to the Alaska Department of Fish and Game. The Teshekpuk Caribou Herd, which spends the entire year on the North Slope, The Teshekpuk Caribou herd grew from 40,000 in 2011 to 61,500 as of 2022, according to the Alaska Department of Fish and Game and the U.S. Bureau of Land Management.


Here is all one needs to know about climate change!

"Science" The ability to Manipulate or Manufacture Data to Support the Desired Outcome of the FUNDING AGENCY! "SCIENCE" !!! dancing
 
Posts: 2352 | Location: KENAI, ALASKA | Registered: 10 November 2001Reply With Quote
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I get the substance thing, I do. But when I see the First Nations people run down these caribou with snow machines taking several out of the herd, knowing that the rest of the tribe hunts them the same way, and will shoot them in the water by boat, it's clear to me why there is a severe herd reduction. Same thing with the salmon, and the crab offshore. It's over-harvest. No one seems willing to do anything about it. In the 1980s Canadian Geese were at such a low level on the Atlantic flyway they shut down the season. For several years. They need to do something like that here before it's to=o late.
 
Posts: 106 | Registered: 20 June 2009Reply With Quote
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Guys,

When I lived in Dillingham, AK the Mulchatna herd grew from 20,000 to over 200,000 and now is crashed.

In talking with the local Fish and Game biologist during that time he told me that the caribou cannot be managed. The herds will flourish and then wain regardless of hunting whether subsistence or trophy which has little to no effect on the overall numbers.

Mark


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Posts: 12873 | Location: LAS VEGAS, NV USA | Registered: 04 August 2002Reply With Quote
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I have a little bit of a different opinion.

I think repeatedly taking herd bulls out of the stock and in some cases taking several big bulls out of the stock is detrimental. I know I'm other states the Game departments allocate more antlerless tags and immature bull tags in order to not exterminate big breeding males.

I don't think sport hunting killed the Mulchatna herd all by itself, but I don't think removing all breeding bulls year after year was helpful either.

In hindsight, rather than alloting all hunters, sport, subsistence and otherwise as many as five buil tags each, it seems reasonable to have allowed one or two bull tags and the rest antlerless.
 
Posts: 9119 | Location: Dillingham Alaska | Registered: 10 April 2006Reply With Quote
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Originally posted by Scott King:
I have a little bit of a different opinion.

I think repeatedly taking herd bulls out of the stock and in some cases taking several big bulls out of the stock is detrimental. I know I'm other states the Game departments allocate more antlerless tags and immature bull tags in order to not exterminate big breeding males.

I don't think sport hunting killed the Mulchatna herd all by itself, but I don't think removing all breeding bulls year after year was helpful either.

In hindsight, rather than alloting all hunters, sport, subsistence and otherwise as many as five buil tags each, it seems reasonable to have allowed one or two bull tags and the rest antlerless.


How about Cows instead of antlerless? Wink
 
Posts: 2352 | Location: KENAI, ALASKA | Registered: 10 November 2001Reply With Quote
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I think the idea that herds of 100,000-500,000 caribou crashed and burned because hunters shot all the trophy bulls is pretty dubious. Caribou can get hammered by bad weather. Just ask the 40 Mile and Nelchina herds. The herds also grow to a point they WAY overgraze the habitat and then crash like a meteor. I don't pretend to know the reasons why the Western Arctic herd is down. Sport hunters take a marginal and minimal number of animals from that herd. The idea that they caused it or that even continued hunting, as few as are harvested, would be seriously detrimental is not a legitimate concern in my opinion. I don't know what rural/local harvest is in those areas, but I do know that harvesting unlimited numbers of either sex caribou by local hunters was off the table for discussion. Locals got to use the Federal Subsistence Board to keep the non locals out they've resented for years. I 100% feel for local residents who need to meat for cheap to avaoid buying food at high prices. I get it. I just feel like hunting harvest is negligible on a population of 150,000. Hopefully they come back.


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And may your bullets shoot as swell As Fred Bear's arrow's flew; And may your nose work just as well As Jack O'Connor's too.
May winds be never at your tail When stalking down the steep; May bears be never on your trail When packing out your sheep.
May the hundred pounds upon you Not make you break or trip; And may the plane in which you flew Await you at the strip.
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Posts: 4551 | Location: Alaska | Registered: 21 February 2008Reply With Quote
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The number I have heard tossed about in the closure are that non locals take 300 or so bulls. The local subsistence harvest is in the thousands, with the majority being cows. Think about that- assuming my numbers are in the ballpark. My take is that the locals have gamed the subsistence board(unelected bureaucrats), herd health and biology be damned.
 
Posts: 1337 | Registered: 17 February 2002Reply With Quote
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All the anecdotal stuff is neato and of course everyone says, " it's them not me!". Roll Eyes

There aren't thousands of subsistence hunters in the North West Arctic to take "thousands" of cows, nor do rural hunters have the access that airtaxi and guide use aircraft allow. For example, I'm limited to about 150 miles round trip on a snow machine or a boat. My boats burn between 7and 10 gallons of gas per hour and only go between 20 and 30 mph. We can't carry unlimited extra gas with us, that's weight in/ on the vehicle that at a point gets to much. My reach is limited.

As to the limitation on trophy bull take, if it's not an issue why do other state game departments set conservative quotas for tags?
 
Posts: 9119 | Location: Dillingham Alaska | Registered: 10 April 2006Reply With Quote
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I don't have a dog in this fight. And not living there I don't know what I don't know. But how many Eskimo/Indian/First Nation tribes are there? How big are their territories? Are they required to follow state and federal game laws on tribal land? Can they take any game at any time? At any quantity? Does the caribou migration go across their land? Same thing with fishing. The TV shows I am watching which probably bear no resemblance to the truth blame global warming for the lack of fish and wildlife.
 
Posts: 106 | Registered: 20 June 2009Reply With Quote
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Originally posted by Lee Woiteshek:
I don't have a dog in this fight. And not living there I don't know what I don't know. But how many Eskimo/Indian/First Nation tribes are there? How big are their territories? Are they required to follow state and federal game laws on tribal land? Can they take any game at any time? At any quantity? Does the caribou migration go across their land? Same thing with fishing. The TV shows I am watching which probably bear no resemblance to the truth blame global warming for the lack of fish and wildlife.


Lee, the rural population is miniscule and as I said above, our reach is limited.

Again, if sport hunting take is as innocuous as others have said above, why do other states game departments regulate trophy tags? Confused

If I remember correctly, at one time in Unit 17 the state game department allowed for five trophy bull tags regardless residency. Would there really have been a downside to limiting trophy bull tags to one or two per hunter?

I've never shot a trophy class bull and truthfully I miss the caribou.
 
Posts: 9119 | Location: Dillingham Alaska | Registered: 10 April 2006Reply With Quote
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Scott-
So are you saying there are not 2000ish caribou shot by the locals in that unit? That is not what I am hearing but would like to know the true state of the harvest. Is there any real data out there?
I take your point on the bulls.
 
Posts: 1337 | Registered: 17 February 2002Reply With Quote
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Originally posted by crane:
Scott-
So are you saying there are not 2000ish caribou shot by the locals in that unit? That is not what I am hearing but would like to know the true state of the harvest. Is there any real data out there?
I take your point on the bulls.


Im sure there are accurate harvest reports, but I don't have them and don't live in that area. Your "2000ish" number wouldn't surprise me at all.
 
Posts: 9119 | Location: Dillingham Alaska | Registered: 10 April 2006Reply With Quote
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I think the point is while I agree the factors that caused a herd to crash are possibly numerous, our responsibility and ability to manage are limited, but we do have tools at our disposal.

We can't immediately change global warming or the state and federal subsistence priority, but we can manage sport/ trophy take. There's no reason for a sport hunter to take as many as five trophy bulls per year and there's certainly no reason for a hunter of any kind to take any bull Caribou after September 20th or so, the meat is inedible.

If I had it to do today and I were going on a dyi or guided caribou hunt up here and had five tags available, id definitely want to shoot one or two for the wall. Heck, maybe shoulder mount them both or not. The remaining tags id shoot for the table and have all five caribou processed into burger, sausage and the like. Probably no steaks or chops, maybe some stew meat. After that id certainly be interested in some fishing or maybe some waterfowl hunting. The fall migration can be a great opportunity.

Apparently the Fish and Game aims for 30 bulls per 100 cows in a caribou herd. If you or y'all encounter a herd of100 and shoot 5 or 10 or 15 of the bills that seems defeating.
 
Posts: 9119 | Location: Dillingham Alaska | Registered: 10 April 2006Reply With Quote
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... there's certainly no reason for a hunter of any kind to take any bull Caribou after September 20th or so, the meat is inedible.



What happens to the meat?
 
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Originally posted by delloro:
quote:
... there's certainly no reason for a hunter of any kind to take any bull Caribou after September 20th or so, the meat is inedible.



What happens to the meat?


I've been told several times that the bulls run around drinking or licking the cow urine as everyone goes into breeding. Many have told me the dogs won't touch it.

I've killed caribou in early September and late August and it was great. I've also killed caribou mid winter and it was great.
 
Posts: 9119 | Location: Dillingham Alaska | Registered: 10 April 2006Reply With Quote
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My neighbor in AK shot a big bull well into Oct and IT smelled REAL bad when it was cooking but he said it tasted fine 2020

The B&C bull I killed in early Sept was the best caribou I ever tasted. The chops had about an inch of fat on them.

Mark


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Posts: 12873 | Location: LAS VEGAS, NV USA | Registered: 04 August 2002Reply With Quote
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Originally posted by MARK H. YOUNG:
My neighbor in AK shot a big bull well into Oct and IT smelled REAL bad when it was cooking but he said it tasted fine 2020

The B&C bull I killed in early Sept was the best caribou I ever tasted. The chops had about an inch of fat on them.

Mark


I didn't understand that later they were in decline and certainly had no idea of the magnitude. I just took it for granted they'd be around forever and poof! No more caribou. Frowner
 
Posts: 9119 | Location: Dillingham Alaska | Registered: 10 April 2006Reply With Quote
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