Our reports are that you are in for a hammering.

Gryph,
Not answering for Shanks as he lives quite far from me. But where I live we, fortunately, are doing better than expected. Winds last night were powerful and rattling things around but rainfall much less than forecast. This morning still very gusty but the force is definitely less. Rain fairly constant but not in volumes of concern. I hope this is because Gabrielle veered off a bit in passing over last night but I need to check the news for the rest of NZ. I'm relieved as seeing the forecast yesterday and how the cyclone was tracking it would have gone right over us if it stayed on course.
Just checked some online updates. Gabrielle may not have veered off. MetService saying the worst yet to come. All red warnings still in place. Northern part of the country getting the worst so far. Flooding, trees down, power outages form parts of Auckland northwards. Looks like today and tonight is the most critical time, at least where we are.

Ah thats a lucky one with it veering off course,tar for the update.

Gryph,
I was mistaken in saying it veered off. Just updated my post above.

Ok tar,keep us in the loop if you will still have power.

Steady lite rain here, no wind as such, which is lucky as Im opening my morning bolting a garage too a concrete floor after moving it onsite.

Lets hope the garage isn't a parachute!

Good luck guys! Hopefully it will not drop the same amount of rain as last week in Auckland.

yeah the north seems to be getting it worst. Lat years cyclone Dove was pretty bad for us here, It hit my valley smack centre and we had a 1 in 1500 year rain event with 300mm falling in less than 12 hours. First time in 35+ years that Ive had silage bales float away. managed to swim a rope out around most of them and drag them back to safety before they left the treeline and got into the river channel.

I had the same at the old place that you know,they bob up and down like a cork and I would never have thought that they would float ffs.

A flood some years back and the lower farms in the district all got caught out. They reckon there was a line of 200 bales floating out too sea.

Rain setting in and getting heavier here now. Shed is bolted down so can relax for arvo and watch a movie.

Im three hours south of Shanks and we have light rain and slowly increasing wind. Still nothing remotely worrying but the day isnt over yet.

Im laid up after knee and hand surgery so sitting inside watching the local mountain disappear into the cloud...

At Katikati, Bay of Plenty, just very heavy rain so far, litle wind. Lost several 2 year old Avocado trees in the last deluge. This might finish off a few more. A couple of dead Fallow fawns after the last lot. We have had slips before now in less rain than this that flattened the deer fences but most come back in their own.
On the other hand on our dairy farm down in Southland the drought is so bad production this month is the lowest for 20 years but that's farming!

Looks like the country got hit quite hard. We got away with just ordinary flooding, but was enough for me to be out shifting my calves to higher paddocks at 1 this morning.

I saw a bit of NZ`s weather woes at 3am on foxtel.

CNN an hour ago belo.


Gabrielle, is currently sitting 200 kilometers (125 miles) northeast of Auckland and is forecast to move close to the east coast over the next 24 hours.

“We expect the impacts of Cyclone Gabrielle to get, unfortunately, worse before they get better,” said Rachel Kelleher, Deputy Controller Auckland Emergency Management on Monday.

Holy shit have a look at the river rise in the video clip.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/20...ency-calls/101970016

Yeah the north and east of the country has been really clobbered. The Cyclone in the 80s, Bola, is the standard by which most are measured and this seems to have been worse.

The clean up will be immense of course, it always is. All those lazy ****s on the dole should be brought into helping the clean up.

Jacinda a bit quiet?

Jacinta has gone back to just being a horse. Not sure who the Prime minister is now. Haven't noticed him.

My old man is in Northland and I cant get him on the phone I assume because the power and lines are down. Apparently they have evaced 65 people to higher ground there. Well, there is no high ground in Ruawai, and I am surprised they could muster 65 residents anyway.
Not sure what has happened to him, I hope the house is alright.

Hope everything goes ok for you guys up north.

Yep hope your family is OK CH!

And if thats not enough, just had an earthquake measuring 6.2. Was near wellington but felt it up here 400k away. It was a long bastard too.

We dodged a bullet. Epicentre drifted right past us but compared with places only a few Km away we had no damage. Only 160mm rain compared with over 350mm a couple of weeks ago. Bit breezy but lost no trees or stock. Even got my wife in early for an operation because people booked in before her had to cancel because of closed roads. Phew!
Friends near Gisborne can't be contacted. We live in interesting times.

quote:

shankspony
posted 15 February 2023 20:03
And if thats not enough, just had an earthquake measuring 6.2. Was near wellington but felt it up here 400k away. It was a long bastard too.

Got the cell notification. Had just the tiniest window rattle. Only a couple of seconds but I was wondering what the heck it was.

Interestingly we live in a piled house and it shook for a good 45 seconds while my parents up the road live in a concrete floored house and never even felt it.

Back to the cyclone and it seems it might be a horrendous storm in some areas. Still over 1000 people no one can make contact with. I bereifly talked with a friend on the Wairoa river and he said the river rose close to 28 meters! The river banks there would be 15 meters high so more than 10 meters of unconfined water rampaging through his district is tsunami level destruction.

Quite extensive acreage of the low lying farmlands down the East cost of the North Island are just devastated. Seeing some news coverage of that made me quite emotional. I really feel for the farmers in that situation. I know a couple of them. Some livelihoods will be damn near ruined. Life changing impact on the economies of that area and recovery will be slow and difficult. Very, very sad.

quote:

Originally posted by shankspony:
said the river rose close to 28 meters! The river banks there would be 15 meters high so more than 10 meters of unconfined water rampaging through his district is tsunami level destruction.

Imagine wtf it is/was like in Fiordland if the rain had continued down there.

Sorry to hear of all this stuff, guys. I wonder how long it will be before cyclones come down to get us here.