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The virtues and the true advantages of pressures, etc, but I have a different question...

I've noticed that the numbers of big-bores seems to be decreasing (not necessarily a bad thing -- lots of folks complain of low quality, and that we want better, but the gun makers may not find it worth it to sell to such a small market...). A few years ago, it looked like big-bores were all the rage. But after the WSM, RUMs, SAUMs, WSSMs, etc, it looks like the market has a new diversion... To that end, Savage seems to have dropped their 116SE (their "safari express"), Winchester has dropped their solids, Remington has dropped their .458's altogether. At the same time, there's still a good number of loads available for the .458 win. However, the only cartridge manufacturer that seem to have picked up the Lott is Hornady. Ruger is leaning hard in that direction (I don't think they chamber their M77 in .458 win this year)...

So -- how do you read the market? Do you think the virtues of the Lott will be enough to sustain it in this peculiar market?

Dan
 
Posts: 518 | Registered: 19 June 2005Reply With Quote
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You got me that "cigar" has been around since 1971. Consider the saga of 1905 vintage 9,3x62 which after 100 years (happy birthday) is just now becoming American pet medium bore cartridge.
Is 8x68S next? I give up. Frowner
PS.One guy was asking for 30R Blaser ammo source in US. He found brass for 4 or 5 USD per pop, thats nuts! nut
 
Posts: 1126 | Registered: 03 June 2005Reply With Quote
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That just struck something else: sources of NE brass (470 NE #2, etc) cost muchos $'s. Winchester is putting out .458 win only in the spring -- when they do at all. Rem also only seasonally puts out .35 whelen. If you cannot find .458 win from Winchester, you can get it for high(er) $'s from Norma. Hornady is *the* source for Lott unless you're willing to work .375H&H brass. Yeah, I know you can shot .458 win ammo in a .458 Lott -- but what's the point of that? One of the things that discourages me from getting really serious about getting a double is the issue of brass...

On the other hand, you have made a good point about the 9.3x62 (sorry about the American '.') and 8x68... if it weren't for the European market and companies like Norma, they likely would not have survived. But they had little presence here, and getting ones hands on Norma stuff tended to be slow and expensive in the US -- at least where I grew up.

Dan
 
Posts: 518 | Registered: 19 June 2005Reply With Quote
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Good question Dan, all I can say is STOCK-UP on your brass and bullet supplies and just worry about feeding your pet rifles for your own needs. Also write to Win, Rem and Hornady and encourage them to produce more of some of these items and then stock up when they do hit the shelves.

There certainly is a good selection of .458" bullets on the market, but you're right, the brass supply is sometimes fitful at best - so stockpile it!


.22 LR Ruger M77/22
30-06 Ruger M77/MkII
.375 H&H Ruger RSM
 
Posts: 863 | Location: Mtns of the Desert Southwest, USA | Registered: 26 February 2004Reply With Quote
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DanEP

Ruger hasn't made a 458 Win Mag in the 77's for a number of years now. The last 458 WM they made was for the old tang safety push feed 77. There will always be RSM's in the 375, 416 and 458 Lott in limited numbers.


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Posts: 2034 | Registered: 14 June 2003Reply With Quote
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Yeah, Dan. That bothers me, too.

I'd buy that Holland and Holland tomorrow if only I could afford the brass. Wink


Mike

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Posts: 13834 | Location: New England | Registered: 06 June 2003Reply With Quote
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quote:
However, the only cartridge manufacturer that seem to have picked up the Lott is Hornady. Ruger is leaning hard in that direction



Hornady has always had a close relationship with the Rugers. Hornady still gets serial number 53 of every Ruger made.

It's the plan to make the limited market stuff at a premium price and has been good for Hornady. Examples are the 480 Ruger, the 450 Marlin, the 204 Ruger and .458 Lott. There's a market for this stuff at the prices Hornady needs to be profitable with their brass works. I'm surprised that Hornady isn't making things like the 416 Taylor or the .375 Taylor and other cartridges of this style.

In fact it's a gutsy move to tool up for such limited markets but they seem to like the monopoly of being the sole manufacturer.

I'm cheering them on.


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Posts: 28849 | Location: western Nebraska | Registered: 27 May 2003Reply With Quote
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The problem with the Lott, and all true big bores is simply this...they are not needed by the vast majority of shooters/hunters. There will be some sales early on, made mostly to curious gun nuts who just have to have their big bore "fix" but after a while most folks get really tired of shooting these cannons. The number of hunters that actually use one of these for what the cartridge was designed for is very small and not likely to be growing. Let's face it, 200+yd shots at deer-elk-moose aren't what this cartridge is about. Compare that with all of the new short mag cartridges and their usefulness for the average hunter/shooter and it's very easy to see why the big bores were/are never going to be big sellers. I don't think the WSMs and their ilk are needed either, but if I am the average hunter/gunbuyer I'd much rather buy a new 300WSM and know I'm going to get some real use out of it vs a Lott that will never see the dark continent. There is 100k+ deer/elk hunters to even one elephant hunter! The Lott does benefit from being a 45cal so there are several choices of cheap bullets for practice and smaller game, so it will likely remain in the Ruger/Hornady lines. Brass will be made once or twice a year so if someone needs it they should stock up when it's available. Same goes for the 458Win.
 
Posts: 1148 | Location: The Hunting Fields | Registered: 22 May 2002Reply With Quote
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John S, you've gotten what's worrying me about much of this. There's other rounds that are on the "short list," such as .257 rob'ts the .35 whelen, etc, that only enjoy seasonal runs. While some Euro companies (thinking of Norma) have picked up some of the American odd-ball cartridges, I suspect some of the other ones -- particularly those with little overseas interest -- are at greater risk.

Bullets are commonly available. But that's not a completely free ride either. Woodleigh weldcores (and even Barnes' originals and others) are designed to expand optimally within certain velocity ranges (jacket thickness and profile). If you load the Lott up, the speeds are over those design velocities, and you loose penetration because the bullets expand too much too early. But if you load it the way Jacques Lott intended -- so that it meets the originally intended .458 win velocities but at lower pressures -- it should be more reliable and not suffer the heat so much, AND work with the bullets on the market. Hornady doesn't load them that way. But then, they load "High Energy" loads for the .458 win to within a couple of hundreds of foot-pounds of the .458 Lott, too. Having said that, I appreciate what Hornady is doing. It amazes me how many cartridges they support given their relative size to Federal, which seems to be their closest competitor in spirit.

Add to this some of the UN issues that Ganyana recently brought up, I wonder what's going to happen to the African market... and that is already a tiny fraction of the number of elk hunters, as already pointed out.

But you CAN load a .458 win to perform over 200 yards reasonably well -- with .400 gr bullets matches .416 Rigby/Rem ballistics -- which is fine for north american game (though much more than one could possibly need for the eastern woods, where such shots are not so common -- but then, except possible complaints of wanton waste, when has too much gun been unethical?).

I doubt it will bring down the price of those double rifles! bawling but it is something I'll have to factor into the purchase of the gun... AND I figure that I'll be in for a bit of a ride getting my handloads right for the regulation to work just right. I guess I'm likely to fall for it because I get grabbed by the technical side of the problem...

Dan
 
Posts: 518 | Registered: 19 June 2005Reply With Quote
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Dan,
I think J.P. Lott intended to better the performance of the Win. mag, and his design does a good job of it. There are plenty of bullets that can easily handle 2300+fps and stay together...North Fork, TSXs, Swifts. Most folks with much experience loading the Lott keep things around 2250fps, and at that level the Woodleighs will likely hold together.
I believe/hope that the African countries understand that allowing us hunters to bring in our rifles for hunting is good for them and their economies. If they don't by now, then let them go the other way and watch their tourism industry vanish as the hunters quit going there.
 
Posts: 1148 | Location: The Hunting Fields | Registered: 22 May 2002Reply With Quote
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quote:
Originally posted by Paolo9,5x73:
You got me that "cigar" has been around since 1971. Consider the saga of 1905 vintage 9,3x62 which after 100 years (happy birthday) is just now becoming American pet medium bore cartridge.
Is 8x68S next? I give up. Frowner
PS.One guy was asking for 30R Blaser ammo source in US. He found brass for 4 or 5 USD per pop, thats nuts! nut


I think the 9.3 x 62 is all the rage on this forum, not the USA. Probably fewer than 1 in 10,000 hunters have ever heard of it. Pity.


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Posts: 11143 | Location: Texas, USA | Registered: 22 September 2003Reply With Quote
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John S, my memory is good enough to remember the hornet's nest about the virtues of the Lott vs. Win -- enough not to want to go there.

There is *one* thing I read that caught my eye on that topic, which can be found at:

http://www.cybertorpedo.com/africanhunter/firearms/solidsvmono_04.htm

quote:

You may well be wondering what became of the control test, the old solid at 1950 fps. Well, this was even more interesting, and I reckon went a considerable way towards validating the relevance of the “elephant sandwich†test medium. At a genuine chronographed 1950 fps, this bullet gave absolutely typical performance of the sort that was commented upon at length by National Parks and Tsetse control officers of years ago. The bullet penetrated the bone, but then blew to bits for a total penetration of precisely half that of the others - 41 cm in all. True “sick leave†material. This bullet would penetrate the leg bone, but wouldn’t have a snowball’s chance in hell of finding its way into the vital organs thereafter. If the animal in question wasn’t irate before, it will certainly be seeking you out for a VERY meaningful round of discussions after being swatted with such a dud. This, I might add, is not a condemnation of old Winchester ammo alone - ALL were noted for such overly emotional reaction to striking something solid.

These tests thus further indicate that it is unwise in the extreme to rely on old .458 ammo of indeterminate origin for front-line work on dangerous game. Not only is the velocity level questionable (if it goes off at all - I had to dig the extruded powder from the old round of ammo with a screwdriver), but the bullets themselves are not up to snuff. Yes, I know .458 ammo is expensive in this part of the world. Yes, I know that even premium quality bullets are expensive. Engrave this little message in your little Pro Hunter/Guides heart:- GOOD QUALITY AMMO AND ESPECIALLY BULLETS, ARE WORTH EVERY CENT WHEN DEALING WITH DANGEROUS GAME, AND FAR MORE THAN THEIR WEIGHT IN GOLD!!! I’m not kidding. My personal favourite, the tungsten cored Speer African Grand Slam must be over $200 EACH by now. Just for the bullet. Woodleighs are over $100. Have you checked out the cost of coffins recently?


The author shows some nice pictures of failed solids, the improvements in jacket design for those solids, etc. He also describes some of the failures of the old .458 ammo that sounds very much like the failures Lott had complained of (and that almost got him killed). While I've read a lot by a lot of folks about Lott's experiences, this article gave a unique first hand picture of the problem. Another report by the same author can be found at:

http://www.african-hunter.com/WhatsWrong.htm

quote:

Not much, states the author, who contends that this calibre is mainly a victim of bad press. It seemed a simple enough job. An injured elephant had to be humanely killed, and the game warden decided to give the job to his new game ranger who was in need of dangerous game experience. The warden went along to see how he performed, which was just as well, as things turned out. Both men carried .458 Magnum rifles, confident that this calibre would be perfect for the job at hand.

They approached the injured animal, which was not difficult, as he was on his feet but unable to move very much at all. The calm and tranquil atmosphere now became charged, and a feeling of foreboding lay upon them with the awareness that this mighty animal was about to die. None of this could be allowed to intrude, though, as the job had to be done. With a final whispered word as to where to shoot, the warden stood back to witness his ranger's performance.

The sudden crashing report shattered the silence. The elephant reared back, shook its head, and remained on its feet. The warden noted with satisfaction that his pupil scarcely hesitated before reloading and fired again, but was displeased with the apparent lack of marksmanship. His displeasure deepened dramatically when the elephant failed to react to the second shot, and now turned to run. The poor, pain-racked beast broke into a shambling walk at the third shot, and the warden had now had enough. Thoroughly disgusted, he ran alongside the animal, and drew a bead with the foresight on a spot on the elephant's head that he knew concealed the brain. He hardly noticed the recoil and the noise when he pressed the trigger, and withdrew in anticipation of the elephant crashing to the ground. Nothing happened.

He immediately slammed another shot into the heart/lung area, then another. The ranger by this time had reloaded, and once more joined in the fray.

After eleven shots had been fired, the unfortunate animal finally lay still. The silence now lay thick and heavy, clamouring more stridently than the previous noise and confusion had done. Both men stood still for some time, considerably alarmed by their failure and sickened by the unnecessary suffering that the once great animal had endured.

Subsequent investigation showed that their bullets had only penetrated about six inches into the thick honey-combed bone of the elephant's skull, failing entirely to reach the brain. While relieved that their bullets had indeed been placed square and true, they now regarded their rifles with considerable distrust. Were they supposed to stake their lives against the largest, most dangerous animals on earth with these inadequate, poorly performing rifles? It seemed a bit much. Both devoted considerable effort in obtaining other issue rifles. They specified that any heavy calibre would do, as long as it was not .458.

Another hunter, also armed with a .458, was after buffalo. He suddenly came across his quarry facing him at short range, and whipped up his rifle. The muzzle blast seemed strangely muted, and the recoil was extremely mild. The buffalo merely blinked. After the ensuing fracas, which could charitably be described as 'confused', the buffalo was eventually dispatched. Again a disappointing lack of penetration was noted, particularly with regard to the first bullet. It was still visible on the forehead, having barely managed to penetrate the skin!
...
It was the late Jack Lott, more than anyone else, who uncovered the underlying cause of the .458's erratic performance. He discovered that the manufacturers, in order to try and up the velocities a bit, were putting in a larger amount of powder by compressing the powder charge. Not just compressing either, but placing the powder under hyper-compression and actually 'gluing' the bullet in place to prevent it from being pushed back out again. If such ammunition were to be used while reasonably fresh, all was well. However, after a time the powder began to clump together into a solid mass. When fired, the bullets would exit at greatly reduced velocities along with substantial chunks of unburnt powder, and sometimes the bullet would only be given sufficient impetus to exit the muzzle and not much else.

The reputation of the .458 was also not helped by occasional batches of factory ammunition loaded with fragile bullets. Even when velocities were not sadly reduced, these bullets were busily fish-tailing, riveting, splitting and generally behaving in an unseemly fashion which was liable to earn the firer a fairly extended stay in hospital - if he was lucky. Bullet failure is not peculiar to the .458 though, as the .375 magnum is particularly prone to bullet failure, and Kynoch itself came out with a batch of dreadful, thinly jacketed heavy rifle bullets immediately after World War II.


And this was written by someone who LIKES the .458 win!!!

I really, really do not want to re-ignite the old debates. BUT I did find the above articles really good reading in giving some more detailed perspectives on the condition of the .458 win.

Dan
 
Posts: 518 | Registered: 19 June 2005Reply With Quote
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Dan,
And your point about all of these quotes is???
 
Posts: 1148 | Location: The Hunting Fields | Registered: 22 May 2002Reply With Quote
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Talk about giving a dog a bad name.
So, different projectiles, different powder, what's the problem now?
John L.
PS John Hunter said the 416 wasn't good enough for Buff., only OK for Lions. Throw them away?
 
Posts: 2355 | Location: Australia | Registered: 14 November 2004Reply With Quote
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Ganyana was the author. He posts on the African forum. New better bullets for ALL calibres, new better powders too. See The Perfect Shot for comparisons of failed old "solid" bullets, ie Kynoch, Winchester with new bullats ie, Woodleigh, Barnes...

JPK


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Posts: 4900 | Location: Chevy Chase, Md. | Registered: 16 November 2004Reply With Quote
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I just liked the articles. (I believe they were both actually written by Charlie Haley, though Ganyana has written a number of articles appearing on the same websites.) Without digging into the question of the virtues of the Lott vs. Win, I thought the articles gave a great vignette of first-hand (or 2nd hand) experiences similar to the ones that had gotten Lott working on his (version of the Watts) cartridge. But the articles were NOT all negative. As a matter of fact, one of them has very positive things to say about the .458 win -- to the point that it is difficult to choose which thing to quote from:

http://www.african-hunter.com/WhatsWrong.htm

quote:

So, if you are the proud owner of a.458, do not despair when someone buttonholes you and regales you with war stories as to its inadequacy and general unworthiness. Modern factory ammunition is better than it used to be, and American ammunition companies are paying far more attention to bullet design and performance than was once the case. Factory ammunition is now above all consistent, without those alarming peaks and troughs of years gone by.

There is yet another avenue open to the .458 owner, and that is reloading. The large calibre, straight case design of the .458 Magnum reacts well to reasonably fast burning rifle powders, and by picking and choosing the right ones it is not actually difficult to achieve a full 2150 feet per second with the 500 grain bullet without over-straining anything. The .458 also begs to be reloaded with cast bullets, and moulds can be had for 300 grain up to 550 grain bullets. Gas checks allow full .458 velocities, or moderate loads can be used for practice and small game hunting.

Rest assured that if you own a .458 rifle, it is not a worthless and underpowered pipsqueak, but a fine heavy game calibre which is better in many ways than the much vaunted .375 Magnum. Choose your loads wisely, avoid old ammunition like the plague for any purpose other than practice and you will be adequately armed for any game animal that walks the face of this planet. If some vile and hideous legislation were to restrict me to only one single rifle for all hunting applications, my choice would be without a doubt - you've guessed it - the .458!



But I didn't want to really restart the other threads (there's another .458 win vs. .458 lott that is active right now). I really hope this thread sticks closer to the question of how well the Lott product launch may survive in the weird market with the convergence of all the ultramags, short mags, worries about Bob M, taking farms and concessions, general costs for companies trying to keep up (Speer dropped their rifle Nitrex line altogether), UN anti-gun stuff that Ganyana warned us about --- looks like there's a lot of bad stuff in the air. It strikes me that the Lott is in a sort of precarious position that doesn't have anything to do with its substantial virtues, and I wondered if anyone else has noticed the same thing?

Actually, this article made another point that was very interesting. It described the condition of the marketplace at the time Winchester introduced its product:

quote:

The .458 first saw the light of day in 1956, when Winchester unveiled this new chambering in its justly famous model 70 bolt action rifle. It turned out to be a very good move, as America was enjoying a period of prosperity and many hunters now wanted to travel to Africa on safari. At the same time Britain was in the doldrums, and her once great sporting arms industry was a shadow of its former self. Heavy calibre British rifles were now hard to get and very expensive, and ammunition was problematical as well. Kynoch was discontinuing the old proprietary British sporting calibres one by one.

Into the breech stepped Winchester, with a modern round suitable for inexpensive bolt- action rifles which would duplicate the performance of the old British heavies. Most of the old nitro-expresses from .450 to .475 used 480 to 500-grain bullets at around 2100 feet per second, and the new.458 advertised a 500 grain solid bullet at 2l50 feet per second. This bullet weight and velocity level was shown from past experience to be absolutely ideal for heavy, dangerous game, and what's more this power package came in a short cartridge suitable for standard length actions. This was done firstly to avoid the necessity of using the more expensive magnum length action, and secondly as a perceived benefit to the shooter. It is actually a very good idea, as most riflemen are used to standard length bolt actions. Give them a longer magnum action with increased bolt throw and 'short stroking' the action becomes a problem, particularly in an emergency. Short stroking is pulling the bolt insufficiently far rearwards to eject the spent cartridge case and chamber a new round, and a horrendous jam can result. This is not theoretical moonshine either, as I have seen it happen a number of times, particularly when the shooter is under stress.


At the time, Winchester stepped into an expanding market -- with good success, only to be met with a bloody nose (and endangering the lives of a number of folks - including J. Lott). But this market is changing and more complicated in some ways...

Dan
 
Posts: 518 | Registered: 19 June 2005Reply With Quote
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My brain is muddled, been sitting here too long.
Here's a thought. Why get a Lott now that we have improved powders and projectiles for the 458 wm. More avail ammo, less recoil, Heck the Lott may be on the way out.
John L. (A proud WM owner and slightly biased)
 
Posts: 2355 | Location: Australia | Registered: 14 November 2004Reply With Quote
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Any prediction as to what the "Bean Counters" will do is a mere guess...Those guys cannot be predicted!! but you can bet it will be a cluster ---- in the end.....

Those folks are out of touch with us, the shooters...

Bill Ruger had a thumb on things, and they still do a pretty fair job of reading the market...

I'm sure they follow the dollars, but they sure can make some big mistakes, now its quality control thats killing them, and they will blame it on the calibers etc..


Ray Atkinson
Atkinson Hunting Adventures
10 Ward Lane,
Filer, Idaho, 83328
208-731-4120

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Posts: 42320 | Location: Twin Falls, Idaho | Registered: 04 June 2000Reply With Quote
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Anything larger than the 375 H&H cannot be expected to be supported by the major rifle and ammunitions manufacturers in the US, as the market for those rounds is limited and their popularity fleeting. The large number of baby boomer hunters that could afford to go Africa due to a good economy in the states, and cheap hunting in Africa will drop off in the future. The novelty of the bigger and bigger rounds will be faced with the reality that a select few are willing to deal with the recoil.

If you're a serious hunter of dangerous game, then you'll give a rat's patoo about future availability of componets, you'll choose the best gun for the task at hand, and stockpile the componets you need. If you're just a gun crank, get the 458 Lott and consider it the most practicle of the big bores, even for future availability of componets. If you're in neither of those two camps, then this seems to be a rhetorical discussion.


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Posts: 7213 | Location: Alaska | Registered: 27 February 2001Reply With Quote
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Paul H,

It strikes me that the categories you offer are rather narrow in scope, though the derived advice is quite practical. Anyone who became a serious dg hunter must have, by necessity, made a commitment of time in facing a steep learning curve, and must have found the desire to commit significant resources. That must have come from some passion. In my case, as I learn more, I tend to connect those things to other passions -- the more connected, the more satisfying, and the more likely it is I'll come up with more "academic" questions.

quote:
Anything larger than the 375 H&H cannot be expected to be supported by the major rifle and ammunitions manufacturers in the US, as the market for those rounds is limited and their popularity fleeting. The large number of baby boomer hunters that could afford to go Africa due to a good economy in the states, and cheap hunting in Africa will drop off in the future. The novelty of the bigger and bigger rounds will be faced with the reality that a select few are willing to deal with the recoil.


I think the above assessment identifies a very important component facing hunting in America: our numbers are dwindling. The economy of common people has generally been weakening as most of our manufacturing has left, and many of the companies that used to provide rich pensions are mere pension shells with no real money-making function any more. The white-collar jobs more and more people are taking places them in urban environments where their kids will not have a chance to go hunting -- or, as in NY City -- even a chance to see a legal gun. It appears there are some folks more likely to consider trying to buy a ride on the space shuttle than they are of going on safari in Africa.

Even so, ammunition companies still seem to be willing to support calibers with marginal followings: .257 roberts, .35 whelen, etc. There seems to be SOME point where seasonal runs are worth doing. On this face, I think I'd expect to be a little more optimistic -- though my post points that I have my doubts.

But back to the issue of passions... One piece of this that hits home is the sense that the number of hunters (at least from the US) is likely to dwindle. At home, a little activism can help to mitigate some of that trend. But it is also likely to have impacts in Africa not only in terms of the number of PH's that continue to be supported, but also in terms of the influence that they can hold with people like Robert M (not to say there's much that can be counted on, now).

Dan
 
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I read on the African forum that Federal is testing 458 Lott right now. Sent some off to Arrica with a writer and custom gun maker. Ray will remember who. I think.
Gene


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Posts: 1684 | Location: Walker Co,Texas | Registered: 27 August 2004Reply With Quote
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quote:
Originally posted by invader66:
I read on the African forum that Federal is testing 458 Lott right now. Sent some off to Arrica with a writer and custom gun maker. Ray will remember who. I think.
Gene


I believe this is the post you are thinking about.
 
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It is and I thank you. thumb


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Posts: 1684 | Location: Walker Co,Texas | Registered: 27 August 2004Reply With Quote
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Thanks for the info on the Federal Lott!! Looks like great news!

Ray is right: cannot guess what the bean counters will decide.

Dan
 
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