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The virtues and the true advantages of pressures, etc, but I have a different question... I've noticed that the numbers of big-bores seems to be decreasing (not necessarily a bad thing -- lots of folks complain of low quality, and that we want better, but the gun makers may not find it worth it to sell to such a small market...). A few years ago, it looked like big-bores were all the rage. But after the WSM, RUMs, SAUMs, WSSMs, etc, it looks like the market has a new diversion... To that end, Savage seems to have dropped their 116SE (their "safari express"), Winchester has dropped their solids, Remington has dropped their .458's altogether. At the same time, there's still a good number of loads available for the .458 win. However, the only cartridge manufacturer that seem to have picked up the Lott is Hornady. Ruger is leaning hard in that direction (I don't think they chamber their M77 in .458 win this year)... So -- how do you read the market? Do you think the virtues of the Lott will be enough to sustain it in this peculiar market? Dan | ||
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You got me that "cigar" has been around since 1971. Consider the saga of 1905 vintage 9,3x62 which after 100 years (happy birthday) is just now becoming American pet medium bore cartridge. Is 8x68S next? I give up. PS.One guy was asking for 30R Blaser ammo source in US. He found brass for 4 or 5 USD per pop, thats nuts! | |||
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That just struck something else: sources of NE brass (470 NE #2, etc) cost muchos $'s. Winchester is putting out .458 win only in the spring -- when they do at all. Rem also only seasonally puts out .35 whelen. If you cannot find .458 win from Winchester, you can get it for high(er) $'s from Norma. Hornady is *the* source for Lott unless you're willing to work .375H&H brass. Yeah, I know you can shot .458 win ammo in a .458 Lott -- but what's the point of that? One of the things that discourages me from getting really serious about getting a double is the issue of brass... On the other hand, you have made a good point about the 9.3x62 (sorry about the American '.') and 8x68... if it weren't for the European market and companies like Norma, they likely would not have survived. But they had little presence here, and getting ones hands on Norma stuff tended to be slow and expensive in the US -- at least where I grew up. Dan | |||
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Good question Dan, all I can say is STOCK-UP on your brass and bullet supplies and just worry about feeding your pet rifles for your own needs. Also write to Win, Rem and Hornady and encourage them to produce more of some of these items and then stock up when they do hit the shelves. There certainly is a good selection of .458" bullets on the market, but you're right, the brass supply is sometimes fitful at best - so stockpile it! .22 LR Ruger M77/22 30-06 Ruger M77/MkII .375 H&H Ruger RSM | |||
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DanEP Ruger hasn't made a 458 Win Mag in the 77's for a number of years now. The last 458 WM they made was for the old tang safety push feed 77. There will always be RSM's in the 375, 416 and 458 Lott in limited numbers. Lo do they call to me, They bid me take my place among them in the Halls of Valhalla, Where the brave may live forever. | |||
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Yeah, Dan. That bothers me, too. I'd buy that Holland and Holland tomorrow if only I could afford the brass. Mike Wilderness is my cathedral, and hunting is my prayer. | |||
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Hornady has always had a close relationship with the Rugers. Hornady still gets serial number 53 of every Ruger made. It's the plan to make the limited market stuff at a premium price and has been good for Hornady. Examples are the 480 Ruger, the 450 Marlin, the 204 Ruger and .458 Lott. There's a market for this stuff at the prices Hornady needs to be profitable with their brass works. I'm surprised that Hornady isn't making things like the 416 Taylor or the .375 Taylor and other cartridges of this style. In fact it's a gutsy move to tool up for such limited markets but they seem to like the monopoly of being the sole manufacturer. I'm cheering them on. /////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////// "Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy, its inherent virtue is the equal sharing of misery." Winston Churchill | |||
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The problem with the Lott, and all true big bores is simply this...they are not needed by the vast majority of shooters/hunters. There will be some sales early on, made mostly to curious gun nuts who just have to have their big bore "fix" but after a while most folks get really tired of shooting these cannons. The number of hunters that actually use one of these for what the cartridge was designed for is very small and not likely to be growing. Let's face it, 200+yd shots at deer-elk-moose aren't what this cartridge is about. Compare that with all of the new short mag cartridges and their usefulness for the average hunter/shooter and it's very easy to see why the big bores were/are never going to be big sellers. I don't think the WSMs and their ilk are needed either, but if I am the average hunter/gunbuyer I'd much rather buy a new 300WSM and know I'm going to get some real use out of it vs a Lott that will never see the dark continent. There is 100k+ deer/elk hunters to even one elephant hunter! The Lott does benefit from being a 45cal so there are several choices of cheap bullets for practice and smaller game, so it will likely remain in the Ruger/Hornady lines. Brass will be made once or twice a year so if someone needs it they should stock up when it's available. Same goes for the 458Win. | |||
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John S, you've gotten what's worrying me about much of this. There's other rounds that are on the "short list," such as .257 rob'ts the .35 whelen, etc, that only enjoy seasonal runs. While some Euro companies (thinking of Norma) have picked up some of the American odd-ball cartridges, I suspect some of the other ones -- particularly those with little overseas interest -- are at greater risk. Bullets are commonly available. But that's not a completely free ride either. Woodleigh weldcores (and even Barnes' originals and others) are designed to expand optimally within certain velocity ranges (jacket thickness and profile). If you load the Lott up, the speeds are over those design velocities, and you loose penetration because the bullets expand too much too early. But if you load it the way Jacques Lott intended -- so that it meets the originally intended .458 win velocities but at lower pressures -- it should be more reliable and not suffer the heat so much, AND work with the bullets on the market. Hornady doesn't load them that way. But then, they load "High Energy" loads for the .458 win to within a couple of hundreds of foot-pounds of the .458 Lott, too. Having said that, I appreciate what Hornady is doing. It amazes me how many cartridges they support given their relative size to Federal, which seems to be their closest competitor in spirit. Add to this some of the UN issues that Ganyana recently brought up, I wonder what's going to happen to the African market... and that is already a tiny fraction of the number of elk hunters, as already pointed out. But you CAN load a .458 win to perform over 200 yards reasonably well -- with .400 gr bullets matches .416 Rigby/Rem ballistics -- which is fine for north american game (though much more than one could possibly need for the eastern woods, where such shots are not so common -- but then, except possible complaints of wanton waste, when has too much gun been unethical?). I doubt it will bring down the price of those double rifles! but it is something I'll have to factor into the purchase of the gun... AND I figure that I'll be in for a bit of a ride getting my handloads right for the regulation to work just right. I guess I'm likely to fall for it because I get grabbed by the technical side of the problem... Dan | |||
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Dan, I think J.P. Lott intended to better the performance of the Win. mag, and his design does a good job of it. There are plenty of bullets that can easily handle 2300+fps and stay together...North Fork, TSXs, Swifts. Most folks with much experience loading the Lott keep things around 2250fps, and at that level the Woodleighs will likely hold together. I believe/hope that the African countries understand that allowing us hunters to bring in our rifles for hunting is good for them and their economies. If they don't by now, then let them go the other way and watch their tourism industry vanish as the hunters quit going there. | |||
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I think the 9.3 x 62 is all the rage on this forum, not the USA. Probably fewer than 1 in 10,000 hunters have ever heard of it. Pity. "Experience" is the only class you take where the exam comes before the lesson. | |||
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John S, my memory is good enough to remember the hornet's nest about the virtues of the Lott vs. Win -- enough not to want to go there. There is *one* thing I read that caught my eye on that topic, which can be found at: http://www.cybertorpedo.com/africanhunter/firearms/solidsvmono_04.htm
The author shows some nice pictures of failed solids, the improvements in jacket design for those solids, etc. He also describes some of the failures of the old .458 ammo that sounds very much like the failures Lott had complained of (and that almost got him killed). While I've read a lot by a lot of folks about Lott's experiences, this article gave a unique first hand picture of the problem. Another report by the same author can be found at: http://www.african-hunter.com/WhatsWrong.htm
And this was written by someone who LIKES the .458 win!!! I really, really do not want to re-ignite the old debates. BUT I did find the above articles really good reading in giving some more detailed perspectives on the condition of the .458 win. Dan | |||
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Dan, And your point about all of these quotes is??? | |||
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Talk about giving a dog a bad name. So, different projectiles, different powder, what's the problem now? John L. PS John Hunter said the 416 wasn't good enough for Buff., only OK for Lions. Throw them away? | |||
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Ganyana was the author. He posts on the African forum. New better bullets for ALL calibres, new better powders too. See The Perfect Shot for comparisons of failed old "solid" bullets, ie Kynoch, Winchester with new bullats ie, Woodleigh, Barnes... JPK Free 500grains | |||
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I just liked the articles. (I believe they were both actually written by Charlie Haley, though Ganyana has written a number of articles appearing on the same websites.) Without digging into the question of the virtues of the Lott vs. Win, I thought the articles gave a great vignette of first-hand (or 2nd hand) experiences similar to the ones that had gotten Lott working on his (version of the Watts) cartridge. But the articles were NOT all negative. As a matter of fact, one of them has very positive things to say about the .458 win -- to the point that it is difficult to choose which thing to quote from: http://www.african-hunter.com/WhatsWrong.htm
But I didn't want to really restart the other threads (there's another .458 win vs. .458 lott that is active right now). I really hope this thread sticks closer to the question of how well the Lott product launch may survive in the weird market with the convergence of all the ultramags, short mags, worries about Bob M, taking farms and concessions, general costs for companies trying to keep up (Speer dropped their rifle Nitrex line altogether), UN anti-gun stuff that Ganyana warned us about --- looks like there's a lot of bad stuff in the air. It strikes me that the Lott is in a sort of precarious position that doesn't have anything to do with its substantial virtues, and I wondered if anyone else has noticed the same thing? Actually, this article made another point that was very interesting. It described the condition of the marketplace at the time Winchester introduced its product:
At the time, Winchester stepped into an expanding market -- with good success, only to be met with a bloody nose (and endangering the lives of a number of folks - including J. Lott). But this market is changing and more complicated in some ways... Dan | |||
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My brain is muddled, been sitting here too long. Here's a thought. Why get a Lott now that we have improved powders and projectiles for the 458 wm. More avail ammo, less recoil, Heck the Lott may be on the way out. John L. (A proud WM owner and slightly biased) | |||
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Any prediction as to what the "Bean Counters" will do is a mere guess...Those guys cannot be predicted!! but you can bet it will be a cluster ---- in the end..... Those folks are out of touch with us, the shooters... Bill Ruger had a thumb on things, and they still do a pretty fair job of reading the market... I'm sure they follow the dollars, but they sure can make some big mistakes, now its quality control thats killing them, and they will blame it on the calibers etc.. Ray Atkinson Atkinson Hunting Adventures 10 Ward Lane, Filer, Idaho, 83328 208-731-4120 rayatkinsonhunting@gmail.com | |||
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Moderator |
Anything larger than the 375 H&H cannot be expected to be supported by the major rifle and ammunitions manufacturers in the US, as the market for those rounds is limited and their popularity fleeting. The large number of baby boomer hunters that could afford to go Africa due to a good economy in the states, and cheap hunting in Africa will drop off in the future. The novelty of the bigger and bigger rounds will be faced with the reality that a select few are willing to deal with the recoil. If you're a serious hunter of dangerous game, then you'll give a rat's patoo about future availability of componets, you'll choose the best gun for the task at hand, and stockpile the componets you need. If you're just a gun crank, get the 458 Lott and consider it the most practicle of the big bores, even for future availability of componets. If you're in neither of those two camps, then this seems to be a rhetorical discussion. __________________________________________________ The AR series of rounds, ridding the world of 7mm rem mags, one gun at a time. | |||
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Paul H, It strikes me that the categories you offer are rather narrow in scope, though the derived advice is quite practical. Anyone who became a serious dg hunter must have, by necessity, made a commitment of time in facing a steep learning curve, and must have found the desire to commit significant resources. That must have come from some passion. In my case, as I learn more, I tend to connect those things to other passions -- the more connected, the more satisfying, and the more likely it is I'll come up with more "academic" questions.
I think the above assessment identifies a very important component facing hunting in America: our numbers are dwindling. The economy of common people has generally been weakening as most of our manufacturing has left, and many of the companies that used to provide rich pensions are mere pension shells with no real money-making function any more. The white-collar jobs more and more people are taking places them in urban environments where their kids will not have a chance to go hunting -- or, as in NY City -- even a chance to see a legal gun. It appears there are some folks more likely to consider trying to buy a ride on the space shuttle than they are of going on safari in Africa. Even so, ammunition companies still seem to be willing to support calibers with marginal followings: .257 roberts, .35 whelen, etc. There seems to be SOME point where seasonal runs are worth doing. On this face, I think I'd expect to be a little more optimistic -- though my post points that I have my doubts. But back to the issue of passions... One piece of this that hits home is the sense that the number of hunters (at least from the US) is likely to dwindle. At home, a little activism can help to mitigate some of that trend. But it is also likely to have impacts in Africa not only in terms of the number of PH's that continue to be supported, but also in terms of the influence that they can hold with people like Robert M (not to say there's much that can be counted on, now). Dan | |||
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I read on the African forum that Federal is testing 458 Lott right now. Sent some off to Arrica with a writer and custom gun maker. Ray will remember who. I think. Gene Semper Fi WE BAND OF BUBBAS STC Hunting Club | |||
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I believe this is the post you are thinking about. | |||
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It is and I thank you. Semper Fi WE BAND OF BUBBAS STC Hunting Club | |||
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Thanks for the info on the Federal Lott!! Looks like great news! Ray is right: cannot guess what the bean counters will decide. Dan | |||
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