Looks like crime is broadly down on Joe's watch. Someone needs to sit down and patiently explain this to Orange Boy.

https://open.substack.com/pub/...ost&utm_medium=email

Record Home Equity
Record 410k values
Unemployment around 4
Low crime
I am not a fan of low interest rates we end for decades
Not out of the woods yet, but we are better today than the Biden took office.

If you think gas was going to stay 2.00 dollars coming out of Covid are not people that can be helped.

We can complain about the math, but it is the same math a Republican would use that the far fight here would praise if it was Trump or any GOP president.

Politicians say a lot of things making it hard to remember specific things that they've said so I'll cut them some slack when it comes to recall their thoughts on a specific item.

trump is different in that he distorts the truth or lies on purpose. The troublesome thing is that his minions DON'T CARE. He reminds me of an old boss who when asked a question would always tell you something rather than admit he didn't know the answer.

Trump practices one tactic that is very effective on gullible people - repeat the same lie as often and loudly as possible, and a large segment of the population will gradually accept it as truth.

That is the sustaining practice of preachers and politicians.

quote:

Originally posted by Tumbleweed:
Trump practices one tactic that is very effective on gullible people - repeat the same lie as often and loudly as possible, and a large segment of the population will gradually accept it as truth.

That is the sustaining practice of preachers and politicians.

A lie told once remains a lie but a lie told a thousand times becomes the truth
Joseph Goebbels

quote:

Originally posted by Jefffive:

quote:

Originally posted by Tumbleweed:
Trump practices one tactic that is very effective on gullible people - repeat the same lie as often and loudly as possible, and a large segment of the population will gradually accept it as truth.

That is the sustaining practice of preachers and politicians.

A lie told once remains a lie but a lie told a thousand times becomes the truth
Joseph Goebbels

Yep!

The border is closed....

This,inflation is transitory.....

A lie was you stating inflation was 19 percent. The high wax 9 percent. It is now down to 5.3 percent.

What is your excuse?

Per Google

As of May 15, 2024, the US inflation rate was 3.4%, and prices had increased 20.8% since the start of the pandemic-induced recession in February 2020. This is according to the consumer price index (CPI), which measures the annual percentage change in the cost of a basket of goods and services for the average consumer. The main contributors to the current inflation rate are shelter, energy, and motor vehicle insurance.

So under Biden’s watch, inflation has been 20%.

Sure, at any given time the annual inflation rate has not been 20% as measured by the CPI, but quibbling that the rate has not been 20% when per the government prices went up 20% is not factually correct.

quote:

So under Biden’s watch, inflation has been 20%.

That's the total of four years. You are wrong to say the rate of inflation is twenty percent.

I provide Jtex Forbes to refute his 19 percent number, but Forbes does not know what they are talking about.

Tge peak was 2022 at 9 percent.

CNBC today reported inflation is now down to 3 something percent.

The peak was 9 not 19. To say that is a lie.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/d...-3-years-last-month/
Annual CPI inflation peaked at 9.1% in June 2022, the highest level since the early 1980s

Did I say rate or inflation?

The CPI is up over 20% since Trump.

Heym’s statement was it was not up 19%.

Also remember the amount compounds, so it’s more than just additive as far as rates.

quote:

Originally posted by RolandtheHeadless:

quote:

So under Biden’s watch, inflation has been 20%.

That's the total of four years. You are wrong to say the rate of inflation is twenty percent.

See Forbes

Now, I will give you this.

The consumer price index is almost 20% higher than it was in December 2020.

Overall inflation was 3.3% in May, as measured by year-over-year changes in the Labor Department’s consumer price index, better than consensus economist estimates of 3.4%, according to FactSet.

Core inflation, which many experts consider the more important measure as it excludes the oft volatile food and energy subsets, was 3.4% last month, lighter than forecasts of 3.5%.

Both headline inflation, which was 4% last May and 8.6% in May 2022, and core inflation, which was 5.3% last year and 6% two years ago, continue to trend in the right direction, but remain above their historically acceptable boundaries.

Inflation in the UK was less than 1% in 2020, went up to 9.6% in 2022, back to about 3% today.

Those who think that the US, or any country, exists in a vacuum and isn't affected by world events and circumstances evidently doesn't understand economics.

quote:

Originally posted by nute:
Inflation in the UK was less than 1% in 2020, went up to 9.6% in 2022, back to about 3% today.

Those who think that the US, or any country, exists in a vacuum and isn't affected by world events and circumstances evidently doesn't understand economics.

It is a point I have made many times, linking IMF data showing that all western nations experienced similar inflation post pandemic. Many people have no interest in looking at the big picture, especially in an election year. Sad but true.

Inflation is cooling. Corporate profits are at record highs. Unemployment is down. The US economy is a rocket ship right now.

If a republican was in office, I suspect we'd be seeing a different take on things from our friends on the other side of the aisle.

No, let's go back to the Orange Liar saying crime is through the roof and the FBI statistics are rigged. Up is down. Wrong is right. Red is white. Bad is good. Sin is praise. The devil is God.

So the fact that the number of murders is "low" according to the UCR doesn't really mean that violent crime is lower. It's a convenient fiction people use to make themselves feel better and that politicians rely on so that the honest people don't get angry and burn the whole rotten system to the ground.

If you go back through the UCR and look at total violent crime, you will note that while murder rates fluctuate, the total number of violent crimes remains remarkably consistent. You see single digit swings from year to year, but that's about it.

And here comes another giant cellulite-impregnated but:

The UCR is not a uniform crime report.

Reporting to the UCR is voluntary.

There are more than 10,000 police agencies in the United States. Most of them with half a dozen officers or less. Compiling statistics is the least of such an agency's concern.

This means that there are violent crimes that do not get reported to the UCR. Don't believe me? Well, let's look at Conneticut's violent crime contribution from 2012:

https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-t...cut_by_city_2012.xls

Note what it says for murders by Newtown: 0

Newtown. That's where the Sandy Hook massacre took place.

"JW777, are you telling me that a huge high-profile slaughter of children that made international news isn't counted in the Uniform Crime Report???"

Yes, that is EXACTLY what I am telling you. Participation in the UCR is voluntary and lots of agencies do not contribute statistics to it. Worse, some agencies make a policy of not submitting numbers to it or submitting highly altered numbers to the UCR...usually to evade hard evidence of how much they suck.

Take Baltimore as an example:

https://data.baltimorecity.gov...Crime-Data/wsfq-mvij



In addition to scores of small departments that don't submit data, some of the highest crime areas in the country do not submit numbers or complete numbers to the FBI's UCR for political reasons.

This means that the UCR underestimates the number of violent crimes committed in the United States every year.

If you want to get more accurate numbers you have to grab them from state level government organizations where contributions are required by state law. (But not in every state) That gives a more accurate picture...and when you actually take the time and effort to do all of that (which is not made easy in any way, shape, or form) you find out that there are almost 6 million violent crimes every year.

That is a violent crime for one in every 58 people.

...and even that number isn't right.

Take Memphis as an example: They recently started reclassifying certain types of robberies as "thefts with force". This category has no basis in actual legal charges, but it had the magnificent effect of producing a 30% reduction in the number of robberies. Because when you call Bruce Jenner Katelyn, dude's DNA changes, right? Same theory applied to crime statistics.

So when you factor out all of the bullshit it comes out to be 1 in something like 30 adults. (While violent crime does occur against children, it is thankfully at a much lower rate than against adults and teens)

But nobody will tell you that, because if they did we'd have 50 state reciprocity for shall-issue carry permits. And you'd carry a gun a lot more.

Make no mistake: This is deliberate. It is done to keep Mr. and Mrs. America passive and docile.

And that, ladies and gents, is just consideration of stats for a single year.

If we consider the whole of your lifetime it gets down to estimating a lifetime risk that 1 in 4 people will be the victim of a serious violent crime.

I'll repeat that:

1 in 4.

Year-by-Year Breakdown
of Law Enforcement
Deaths throughout U.S.
TOTAL: 24,067
1786 1
1791 1
1792 1
1794 1
1797 2
1798 1
1800 1
1804 1
1806 1
1808 4
1810 1
1811 2
1814 1
1816 2
1818 1
1823 2
1825 2
1827 1
1828 2
1829 1
1830 1
1836 4
1838 3
1839 3
1840 2
1841 1
1842 1
1843 2
1844 3
1845 4
1847 4
1848 1
1849 3
1850 4
1851 6
1852 7
1853 10
1854 10
1855 9
1856 9
1857 16
1858 14
1859 9
1860 10
1861 9
1862 6
1863 13
1864 16
1865 12
1866 18
1867 19
1868 18
1869 32
1870 36
1871 25
1872 32
1873 23
1874 35
1875 20
1876 31
1877 27
1878 51
1879 31
1880 35
1881 52
1882 44
1883 41
1884 46
1885 55
1886 50
1887 40
1888 57
1889 45
1890 64
1891 60
1892 68
1893 63
1894 69
1895 68
1896 53
1897 51
1898 83
1899 76
1900 76
1901 89
1902 94
1903 98
1904 92
1905 79
1906 91
1907 102
1908 143
1909 99
1910 110
1911 137
1912 120
1913 140
1914 123
1915 146
1916 171
1917 181
1918 213
1919 227
1920 211
1921 262
1922 263
1923 233
1924 272
1925 260
1926 241
1927 280
1928 263
1929 284
1930 318
1931 276
1932 289
1933 238
1934 249
1935 227
1936 206
1937 197
1938 195
1939 127
1940 135
1941 150
1942 131
1943 90
1944 97
1945 121
1946 145
1947 134
1948 145
1949 111
1950 124
1951 139
1952 123
1953 122
1954 142
1955 127
1956 112
1957 125
1958 116
1959 113
1960 132
1961 144
1962 145
1963 140
1964 153
1965 144
1966 164
1967 195
1968 195
1969 200
1970 227
1971 251
1972 229
1973 278
1974 285
1975 239
1976 205
1977 197
1978 217
1979 217
1980 207
1981 205
1982 196
1983 194
1984 185
1985 177
1986 184
1987 185
1988 198
1989 195
1990 162
1991 149
1992 163
1993 160
1994 179
1995 186
1996 141
1997 174
1998 173
1999 147
2000 163
2001 243
2002 160
2003 151
2004 168
2005 168
2006 165
2007 207
2008 162
2009 141
2010 171
2011 190
2012 145
2013 133
2014 158
2015 165
2016 182
2017 189
2018 187
2019 166
2020 428
2021 660
2022 266
2023 118