quote:Well, sharpen your pencil and get ready to write an article on the wolf-elk relationship (where they are in a much more "enclosed environment" in terms of available habitat) in the Yellowstone area. Every indication is that this relationship will be a "good" example of the predator-prey cycle.
Originally posted by Brent:
Thus, I will stand by my claim that wolves and moose are not a good example of a predator-prey cycle.
quote:And your point is? That's the plan Wyoming would like to put in place when/if the wolves are delisted. Right now Wyoming can't do a damn thing to manage wolves. Since this plan actually allows people to shoot them in order to keep their population in check, you have all the greenies putting pressure on the USFWS to keep them "listed."
Originally posted by Outdoor Writer:
especially in the "sky is falling" department, folks here might want to take a look at the Wyoming Wolf Plan.
quote:Of course the wolves aren't all that enclosed (even though the people that put them there swore up and down they'd all stay in the park when they were put there
Originally posted by Brent:
Jon A, explain how wolves in Yellowstone are "much more enclosed" than wolves on Isle Royale, or NE Minnesota for that matter,
quote:Look at the populations right now. The wolves are multiplying like jackrabbits, increasing in numbers at an exponential rate. The elk are decreasing and the calf/cow ratios are extremely low. That's an indication that in a few years from now elk numbers will be even lower and wolf numbers will be much, much higher--unless man steps in and reduces the numbers of elk harvested by hunters and/or allows hunters to reduce the number wolves. The first cycle has begun.
Specifically, explain, "Every indication is that this relationship will be a "good" example of the predator-prey cycle.
quote:I think I saw on the Disney channel once, how a wolf will pass up easy pickin's at the "all you can eat buffet" to go chase other, more challenging prey when he gets bored and feels like balancing his diet.
1. There are too many alternative prey for wolves - alternative prey, especially with strongly different demographies derail cycles.
quote:I agree with you there. We have a tool to limit the number of elk by increasing the hunting on them should they ever become too numerous. But if their numbers continue to decline after we stop all hunting on them, it's out of our hands. It's too late.
2. There are other predators on elk - namely humans, whose dynamics are decoupled from elk.
quote:Elk and wolves have never before coexisted in this environment. 200 years ago the elks' habitat was quite a bit bigger than Yellowstone. And there were a few million Buffalo for the wolves to pick on, etc.
3. There are no examples of wolf-elk cycles anywhere in nature.
quote:Let's hope so.
4. Wolves will be delisted, and probably quites soon.
quote:Thanks for the tiny admission. I don't think they apply in this situation at all.
Originally posted by Jon A:
BTW, I think you probably mis-understood what I meant by my first post. It seemed you had implied that predator-prey cyles simply didn't apply to wolves for some reason or don't exist at all. That's why I jumped on you. Now it seems you understand these cycles quite well--you just don't think they'll apply to this situation.
quote:Hopefully, the people controling it will not be JUST the men that live there, but people from everywhere. Afterall, the situation is far beyond a few locals- they are just one important constituent, not all the important constituents.
Originally posted by Jon A:
When I say it does apply, I don't mean we'll really have what you'll probably now hold as the standard to say it does--actual repeating population cycles. I'm saying the first cycle has begun and will continue until man steps in. Unfortunately I'm afraid that might not happen until the elk population is down close to where its bottom of the cylce would be. What happens from there on out won't be controlled by nature. It will be controlled by man.
Hopefully the men controlling it will be the people who live there, not politicians and environmentalists that live thousands of miles away.
quote:An individual may not but a population can. By that I mean that individual elk easily traverse hundreds of miles. Witness elk on the Pinalenos (aka Graham Mts. in SW AZ) spordically yet seperated from the Mogillon rim and the nearest other populations in the White Mts by many miles of desert. Elk have drifted so far as to be killed on I10 outside of Wilcox. A hell of a long ways from any viable elk population. In fact, an individual elk was shot here in Iowa a two years back. It was orginally thought to have been an escapee but this was not the case. It walked - from Nebraska probably.
Originally posted by Elkslayer:
I think you already know this but in case you don't, an elk does not migrate or "range" nearly as far as a wolf pack does. Therefore once the wolves have taken the local elk herd populations down to the point it is not viable to hunt the wolf pack simply moves. To Colorado, Utah, Washington, Oregon and on and on BTW - that is something those Isle Royal wolves can't do.
quote:I�d like to hear some tech on this situation. They do so without any outside influences (nobody lives there, nobody hunts either species, etc)?
Originally posted by Brent:
In the meantime, wolves DO exist with deer and moose in small areas, including Isle Royal on the smallest scale to Alaska/Canada on the largest. And they do so w/o cycles.
quote:That argument is so weak it isn�t even funny. If you know anything, you know the available habitat for the current elk population in such areas is relatively tiny compared with Alaska and Canada�especially in the winter. An entire herd of elk that has been going to the same winter feeding ground for all of their lives isn�t simply going to pack up and head to Iowa if they feel the wolves are getting too pesky. They are sitting ducks and you know it (or at least you should).
How can you say elk are confined to Yellowstone? They range the entire Rockies from border to border and beyond.
quote:This is where you are absolutely, completely, fundamentally wrong. This is why your opinion pisses so many people off.
Originally posted by Brent:
Hopefully, the people controling it will not be JUST the men that live there, but people from everywhere. Afterall, the situation is far beyond a few locals- they are just one important constituent, not all the important constituents.
quote:I'm sorry, I've never heard of a place called Kxzs�����mklu�, Idaho.
Originally posted by Matt77:
It's like a kid story relived, everyone is still afraid of the big wolf.
quote:Since you are so well read, why don't you site your sources when you regurgitate them?
Originally posted by Brent:
jona -
You need to do a little library work. You are missing on all points. Come back when you have read a little. There are countless papers on these topics of population size, dispersal, migration, predator-prey interactions, wolf-moose dynamics, and the "ownership" of wildlife - a might more complex that you probably can wrap little mind around. Your hysteria is uncreditable.
Brent
quote:Do a search back on this forum and you will see I have posted references for a number of articles. Look'em up.
Originally posted by Elkslayer:
quote:Since you are so well read, why don't you site your sources when you regurgitate them?
You are starting to sound like DFC over on 24hourcampfire.[/QB]
quote:Thanks for asking!,
Originally posted by sdgunslinger:
OK bog , I'll yelp a little .
How come MN has mostly had THE most restrictive deer seasons in the Mid-West . I believe last year was the first a hunter could legally take 2 deer on a regular license.( except for a few maaanagement areas )You couldn't even legally take one by bow and one by gun in prior years . Could it be because your numerous wolves take a hell of a lot of deer ?
Why do moose appear unable to extend their range and population in MN ?, despite extensive suitable habitat . Maybe the numerous wolves make that impossilbe ? And the moose population in other than the NE continues to be shitty . Maybe wolves ?
You say deer populations are "strong" in the NE . Just because there are a number of deer eating your garden does not neccarily mean there is good hunting out in the woods. It's quite common for whitetails to congregate in suburban areas where there is little or no hunting . Also fewer wolves to worry about ....I know several hunters that used to go to northern MN , but now come out here to the prairie side of the state because the northern hunting sucks in comparision . Maybe the numerous wolves are keeping more of a lid on the hunting than some of you pro-wolfers will admit ?
As you said , you are not likely to change the mind of any rabid anti-wolf people .
Likewise , you rabid pro-wolfers will never change your mind either , despite any amount of sacrifice from your fellow hunters , or farmers and ranchers .
quote:"Rabid Pro-Wolfers."
Originally posted by sdgunslinger:
Likewise , you rabid pro-wolfers will never change your mind either , despite any amount of sacrifice from your fellow hunters , or farmers and ranchers .