Originally posted by ledvm:
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Originally posted by jdollar:
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Originally posted by ledvm:
From the stats and science I am seeing...I doubt this will have much impact on Africa...except for lack of tourism...which in itself will be big.
I beg to differ. Africa will get hammered simply because the healthcare system there is pitiful and will be quickly overwhelmed. The disease growth rate is exponential. Two cases today ,4 tomorrow, 16 the next day and so on. Zim has about 50 ICU beds in the entire country with a population north of 14+ million. RSA not much better. Not to mention the fact that at least 25-35% of the population of sub Saharan Africa is immunocompromised with HIV. A recipe for disaster....
We’ll see who is right in the end. My point is that Africa likely has been highly exposed some time ago and if it were going to go there...it likely would have already taken off.
Experts are already speculating why it has NOT as all who keep up know China likely exposed them heavily early on.
Theories as to why it hasn’t taken off in Africa:
1) average daily temp
2) wide spread use of anti-malarials
3) possible immunity from prevous exposure to this or a very similar virus from bushmeat.
Vic Falls has had one positive case but it is in an Englishman who caught it in Europe and came to Vic Falls with it.